Sunday, January 23, 2005

Iranian Mistake

Iranians are blustering again about Bush. Like anyone that has come into the sites of American force they always start screeching about how much of a mistake attacking them would be. I seem to recall the same thing being said before the first Gulf war.

The mistake would be not putting an eye on Iran. The EU negotiations have been going very slowly and in my opinion look like they'll not end up being effective in any case. But, with a little strong arm threat may push them to get real results.

Could the USA push take on and crush Iran. I have no doubts. The aftermath would be the thing that wouldn't be winnable. After that action it would be difficult to get any Islamic regime not to consider the American action to be against Islam. Not to mention that at that point the resources needed for reconstruction and regoverning Iran would be beyond the abilities of the USA.

Of course, this guy stating that the USA is just bluffing isn't exactly correct. With the present threat of the Iranian regime getting nuclear weapons, the USA could very well take surgical strikes to cripple sections if not all of the nuclear program. The results would likely be messy though so I'm thinking that this will be an absolute last chance type action.

The UN and the IAEA are basically useless in this whole scenario. They've done absolutely nothing that has any effect other than showing that it is very likely that Iran is working on nuclear weapons. Nothing that they have done has even slowed the Iranian work. The EU is at least trying, but without any threat of force, I don't see Iran coming honestly to the table.

No comments: